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Welcome to the third 2021 edition of The Nett Report. Last year, given the uncertainty of the coronavirus crisis, we began publishing this report to provide our clients and friends with new perspectives and insights in hopes of stimulating creative thinking during that challenging period of time. Well, the challenges continue and so does The Nett Report. Feel free to share with friends! Links to the 2020 reports can be found here and the 2021 reports here.


 
 
Quotable

“Lately, when I talk to reporters, they expect me to be very worried about Covid variants. But I’m not. Why? Because we know what works to control Covid.” She is more worried about “the lack of action” to promote social distancing, encourage mask wearing and accelerate vaccination. Dr. Ellie Murray of the Boston University School of Public Health on Twitter.


Vaccine skeptics join with anti-mask advocates

As I write this, a meeting scheduled for today has been canceled because the mother of the person I was meeting with passed away from Covid. Many of us have personal stories related to Covid. It is real, and the preventative measures are real and work. This makes it all the more irritating to read this Wall Street Journal story about a group of vaccine skeptics joining with anti-mask advocates to declare “health freedom.” Freedom will come when we join together to end this pandemic, and vaccines and masks are a big part of the solution.


The role of holidays in Covid spread – what about the Super Bowl?

This February 3, 2021, chart (below) from the New York Times clearly illustrates peaks in Covid spread after holidays. Will Super Bowl Sunday be a superspreader event, too?

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Democratic freedoms have rolled back during the pandemic

According to a February 2, 2021, article in The Economist, ”the pandemic caused an unprecedented rollback of democratic freedoms in 2020.” See the democracy index below.

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Covid Around the World

Speaking of a global view, what’s happening in other countries related to Covid response? Here are a few snippets from recent articles.

  • More than one-fifth of India’s adult population had been infected by mid-December according to a survey by the Indian Council of Medical Research. Times of India
  • 45% of India’s health workers were given a vaccination in just 18 days. That’s four million people. Economic Times Healthworld.com
  • Global trust in vaccines is on the rise. More than half of respondents in 15 countries said they would get immunized if they were offered the shot next week. Washington Post
  • Hospital admissions in Israel have dropped by one third since December 19. One third of the nation has been vaccinated so far. The Economist
  • While Israel is successfully implementing vaccinations, a return to normal still seems far off. Public restrictions remain in place. Wall Street Journal
  • Israel also closed its international airport for a week to get more people vaccinated before the "potentially more lethal variants can take hold." Washington Post
  • The Brazil variant of Covid is overwhelming crowded hospitals in northern Brazil, “raising the prospect of a prolonged outbreak in a country that has secured only a fraction of the vaccines it needs.” Wall Street Journal
  • In Italy, the second wave seems to be waning. This is credited to Italy’s family-based culture where people have united over the need to protect their families. State of Reform
  • The Economist explores the challenges of trying to vaccinate the whole world in this ten-minute video.

The left stops the spread, the right is better at vaccinations

The February 5, 2021, New York Times The Morning Report newsletter provides a fascinating in-depth view of how progressive and technocratic governments are doing a better job of containing the pandemic, while more populist, right wing governments are in general more successful at vaccinations. This appears to be generally true at the country level and in U.S. states.

 
 

 
 
Covid and the Economy

Inability to pay water, energy and housing bills surging

We have been hinting for some months now that Covid’s hit on the economy has been having a real impact on utilities and their customers. The evidence is growing. And now add rents and mortgages to the list.

  • Utility Dive reports that residents and small businesses will owe between $35 and $40 billion in utility bills by March 2021. The question is who will pay it? Ratepayers through higher utility rates? Taxpayers? Some combination? Shutoff moratoria are providing a reprieve for customers for now.
  • KPBS reports that California households alone owe $1 billion in water bill debt. Water cannot be shut off to delinquent customers right now, but consumer advocates worry that could change. “If you have 12% of the population behind on their water bills and you expect them to pay within 60 days of the state of emergency being lifted, we’re foreseeing potentially hundreds of thousands of people having their water shut off,” said Jennifer Clary of the group Clean Water.
  • CalMatters takes a different tack and reports that water is the most basic form of PPE, and that 1.6 million people face water shutoffs. In addition, CalMatters says statewide rental debt is estimated at $400 million, according to the nonpartisan Legislative Analyst’s Office.
  • Voice of San Diego reports that more than 69,600 people in San Diego County are behind on their water bills right now. In addition, up to 25 small-to-medium-sized water systems in the state “are at extreme risk due to prolonged revenue loss from unpaid bills and may need help from the state or feds before April.”
  • The Wall Street Journal writes that 2.7 million homeowners are pausing their monthly mortgage bills and more might need help in coming months.
  • Meanwhile, drought conditions are spreading across the west according to drought.gov.
 
 

 
 

Bits and Pieces

Instances of the flu are way down

Are the public health safety measures against COVID affecting the flu season? According the Wall Street Journal, "wearing masks, washing your hands, socially distancing, and staying at home can disrupt pretty much all pathogens, not just the highly contagious coronavirus.” As it turns out, that's exactly what's happening when it comes to influenza, according to the World Health Organization (WHO). In the U.S., according to the Centers for Disease Control, “positive flu test results across nearly 26,000 samples were miniscule at less than one-half of 1% compared with as much as 26% in previous years.”


Making masks smarter and safer against Covid-19

The University of California, San Diego, is developing a new tool for monitoring Covid-19, a color-changing test strip that can be stuck on a mask and used to detect SARS-CoV-2 in a person’s breath or saliva. The researchers say they are “taking what many people are already wearing and re-purposing them so we can quickly and easily identify new infections and protect vulnerable communities.”


Coronavirus mutations might make it resistant to current vaccines

Fortune reported on February 3, 2021, that Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla thinks it is "likely" that the coronavirus will mutate in a way that makes it resistant to current vaccines. However, the mRNA technology that Pfizer/BioNtech (and others such as Moderna) are employing in their vaccines is helpful, "because now you can very quickly develop a new version of the vaccine that either adds to the current immunogenicity or creates a very different one that can cover the new mutations as well."


How can you test Covid positive after being vaccinated?

A report in the February 1, 2021, edition of The Economic Times’ Healthworld.com says that some people have reported testing positive for Covid after being vaccinated. Experts say cases like these are not surprising and do not indicate that there was something wrong with the vaccines. Here’s why.

  • Vaccines don’t work instantly. It takes a few weeks for the body to build up immunity after receiving a dose.
  • The vaccines now in use in the United States, from Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna, both require a second shot a few weeks after the first to reach full effectiveness.
  • They don’t work retroactively. You can already be infected and not know it when you get the vaccine.
  • The vaccines prevent illness, but maybe not infection. Covid vaccines are being authorized based on how well they keep you from getting sick, needing hospitalization and dying. Scientists don’t know yet how effective the vaccines are at preventing the coronavirus from infecting you to begin with, or at keeping you from passing it on to others. That is why vaccinated people should keep wearing masks and maintaining social distance.
  • Even the best vaccines aren’t perfect. The efficacy rates for Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines are extremely high, but they are not 100%.

What can vaccinated people safely do?

Once you have been vaccinated, what can you safely do? Anthony S. Fauci, the nation’s top infectious-disease expert, warns that vaccinations are not a “pass.”  This Washington Post, in a February 1, 2021, article does not provide conclusive recommendations, but includes varied opinions that might be helpful. “Many public health experts say while vaccinated people can enjoy a bit more freedom — flying while masked, for example, is far less of a risk after inoculation — behavior should not change much. Besides the concern that inoculated people might serve as carriers of the virus, they note a small number might still get covid-19 while the virus is circulating so widely, although the chances of hospitalization or death are low.”

 
 

 
 

Nettleton Strategies - Helping You Navigate the Big Reset

This is a challenging time for all of us, in a way we have never experienced before. Here are some things you can do to move forward.

Take this time to imagine your future. We encourage you to imagine a post-coronavirus future when you can begin to realize your dreams sustainably.

Assess your current and future status. At Nettleton Strategies, our philosophy has always been that we need to know two things to find solutions and move forward:

  • A clear understanding of the status of the current situation.
  • A clear vision of how you want your world to be in the future.

With those two benchmarks, you can create a path from your current status to the future imagined status, eliminating the obstacles and identifying processes and resources needed to reach the future state.

Let Nettleton Strategies help! We long ago discarded our flip charts and have facilitated client needs using digital tools. Now we have successfully facilitated client strategy sessions on Zoom. We can do the same for you! Let us help you: 

  • Clarify your unique value proposition as an organization.
  • Identify clear goals that are measurable.
  • Align what you do with available funding.
  • Determine who should be responsible for next steps.
  • Help you to emulate best practices in your field.

If you would like help navigating your way forward, contact us to learn more about how we can help!


Carl Nettleton is an  award-winning writeracclaimed speaker, facilitator, and a subject- matter expert regarding water, climate, sustainability, the ocean, and binational U.S. Mexico border affairs. Founded in 2007, Nettleton Strategies is a trusted source of analysis and advice on issues at the forefront of public policy, business and the environment.

 
 

 
 

 

 
 

 
 
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Nettleton Strategies

P.O. Box 22971
San Diego, CA 92192-2971
U.S.A.
+1 858-353-5489
info@nettstrategies.com
https://www.nettstrategies.com/

 
 

 
 

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