Future of Work / The Economy
Inflation and the Fed, “This will not end well”
In the March 17, 2022, edition of CEO Daily, Alan Murray, Fortune Media CEO, discusses inflation. “This year still looks strong. But the sad cycle of energy and commodity price increases accompanied by wage and salary demands will continue to drive inflation and leave the Fed hopelessly behind the curve in fighting it. This will not end well. The only open question is when.” He points out that in the past 60 years of economic history, “there are few if any instances of inflation declining substantially without significant slowdown.”
Innovation propels creative destruction
Water guru Will Sarni, in the March 21, 2022, edition of his Water Foundry newsletter, discusses the entrepreneur’s role in the economy. “It is the entrepreneur who not only creates invention but also creates competition from a new commodity, new technology, new source of supply and a new type of organization. The entrepreneur creates competition, “which commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the margins of the profits and the outputs of the existing firms but at their foundations and their very lives.” This innovation propels the economy with “gales of creative destruction,” which “incessantly revolutionizes the economic structure from within, incessantly destroying the old one, incessantly creating a new one.”
Why gasoline prices are soaring and demand is lessening
A March 13, 2022, story in CNN Business provides a useful primer on why U.S. gasoline prices are soaring even though the U.S. uses very little Russian oil. Another article, in Yahoo Finance on March 22, 2022, says demand is starting to lessen. “Above $4 per gallon, you do see the American public change their driving habits. And we do actively see demand destruction.”