The Future of Work / The Economy
We have become a country of people without jobs, and jobs without people.
— Suzanne Clark, president and CEO, U.S. Chamber of Commerce
Great resignation not predicted to end until 2023
Although the number of people returning to the job market will increase in future months, an October 28, 2021, article in Fortune reports on Moody Analytics’ assessment that the great resignation will not end until 2023. More than 20 million people left their jobs this past spring and summer. A Census Bureau Pulse Survey of unemployed Americans indicated that the primary reason for not working “was because either they were sick with Covid-19, caring for a sick family member, or that they are worried about contracting Covid.” Cash reserves and government stimulus are also playing a role. Employers will continue to face some labor shortages, “thanks to several factors, including reduced immigration and the accelerated retirement of many baby boomers … this problem isn’t going away.” In a CNBC story on October 21, 2021, the CEO of Whirlpool said he’s starting to get worried the U.S. labor shortage may become structural.
Truck driver shortage is wreaking havoc on the supply chain
Another October 28, 2021, Fortune article says that there is a shortage of 80,000 truck and that the industry will have to recruit one million new drivers within the next nine years to replace retiring drivers. The American Trucking Association says “the $791.7 billion industry hauls 72.5% of all freight transported in the United States and employs about 6% of all full-time workers.” Although ports have now been ordered to stay open all night to address logistics logjams, “new data shows the lack of truckers is causing the slowdown.”
The U.S. economy slowed due to Delta surge and supply crunch
According to an October 28, 2021, story in the Wall Street Journal, the supplies of goods being disrupted by port logjams and truck driver shortages caused the economy to slow in the third quarter. The surge in the Covid Delta variant also contributed.