Covid and the Economy
Work from home is here to stay
According to a September 11, 2020, story in CEO Daily, a J.D. Power study found that “86% of 124 customer service organizations surveyed say they plan to implement permanent work-from-home models even after the pandemic passes.” Customer satisfaction ratings were good, but they “may have been boosted by the fact that many callers were seeking deferred payment arrangements during the pandemic—and getting them.”
Online grocery shopping is here to stay, too
Fox Business reported on September 11, 2020, that the trend to online grocery shopping is here to stay. Instacart President Nilam Ganenthiran told Fox Business "we believe the growth we’re experiencing marks a long-term shift in consumer adoption of grocery delivery and pickup services." Instacart order volume has increased 500% since the start of the pandemic. Whole Foods CEO John Mackey agrees, saying that “when things return to normal, there will be a lot of people who don’t go back to shopping in-person.”
The costs of lost learning during the pandemic
The New York Times in its September 10, 2020.The Morning Newsletter reported that the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has authored a report that says “whenever schools around the world manage to reopen, children in many countries will emerge from the coronavirus lockdowns having lost large amounts of classroom time.” The report attempts to quantify the costs of that lost time and lost learning.
The economic impacts of Covid-19
San Diego economist Alan Nevin has produced a succinct report for the Xpera Group that addresses the economic impact on San Diego and the nation. The report addresses unemployment, Covid-19, and real estate data in a very quick read.
Foundations turning to bonds to meet Covid-19 needs
Morgan Stanley reports that “foundations are asking investors to finance grant-making to nonprofits, which are essential to a post-pandemic recovery and more equitable future.” The firm wrote that “to meet that extraordinary need, large private foundations—such as the Ford Foundation, Doris Duke Charitable Foundation and the MacArthur Foundation—have turned to a nontraditional source of funding: the public bond market.
The economic cycle according to Robert Samuelson
While not focused on Covid, retiring Washington Post columnist Robert Samuelson penned his final column on September 13, 2020, providing some valuable insights. He wrote that “the business cycle hasn’t been conquered yet and possibly never will be. That’s my main conclusion from a half-century of economy-watching. For at least three reasons, I see this cycle of overpromise continuing."
- First, the quest for economic status and power pushes economists and their political sponsors toward exaggerated promises that lead to widespread public disappointment.
- Second, people have a hard time changing their minds.
- Third, modern democracies have a hard time making sacrifices in the present for gains in the future.
Wildfires, hurricane Sally, Covid-19 and Lulumon
From the September 17, 2020, CEO Daily: athletic apparel retailer Lululemon “now has more U.S. stores closed due to environmental risk—fires in the West, hurricane in the Gulf, etc.—than due to COVID 19.”